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Stories · 30

Fed December hike odds rise after jobs report; assets move across marketsPricing shifted across equities, crypto and rate markets on 6 November 2026 following US employment data release.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-11-06 Anthropic IPO valuation odds shift following report of lowered targetPrediction markets moved sharply on 2026-11-06 after reports the AI firm may accept less than its $1.5 trillion IPO target.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-11-06 $950M crypto positions liquidated, shutdown odds rise post midtermsMovements across crypto, prediction markets and oil followed 2026 US midterm election results this week.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-11-05 Bitcoin rises 1.6% following 2026 US midterm result confirmationAs of 4 November 2026, bitcoin traded at $78,277 one full day after election results were finalised.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-11-04 Market strategists, executives outline earnings and cross-asset driversCommentary from analysts and public company leadership filed 4 November 2026 details current market trends.the markets · Marcus Vance · 2026-11-04 Double-digit stock gains follow Q3 earnings beats as midterms shift broad marketsTrading on 3 and 4 November 2026 saw sharp individual share moves alongside broad market shifts after US midterm results.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-11-04 Over $1.4B wagered on 2025 US midterms across prediction marketsIndustry data released 3 November 2026 records total betting volume on the upcoming election cycle.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-11-03 Markets price 65% 2027 semiconductor earnings decline per Goldman analysisGoldman Sachs analysis carrying the expectation was filed 2 November 2026.the markets · Marcus Vance · 2026-11-03

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Gold rises $61.2 per ounce in early 3 November tradingGlobal spot gold posted a sharp upward move in early trade 3 November, extending recovery from recent lows.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-11-03 Apple beats Q3 EPS consensus; multiple firms post 2026 Q3 results Nov 2Third quarter earnings releases and forward guidance landed across public markets on 2026-11-02.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-11-03 Silver fell 8.84% over the prior week amid tech selloffs and inflation concernsAs of 2 November 2026, markets price a 75% probability the Federal Reserve will raise rates in December.the markets · Marcus Vance · 2026-11-02 Markets view AI sector performance as US economic lead indicator, analyst saysComments filed 1 November 2026 outline shifting market framing for the technology sector.the markets · Marcus Vance · 2026-11-01 Global markets post mixed weekly close ahead of upcoming US data releasesMixed US tech earnings weighed on global performance while European indexes closed the week with gains.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-11-01 Indiana data center moratorium odds fall 32 points on PolymarketPolymarket prediction markets recorded broad moves across policy, AI and sports contracts on 29 October 2026.the markets · Marcus Vance · 2026-10-31 Polymarket prices 67% odds of Democratic congressional sweep October 29Split and Republican sweep outcomes trail sharply in prediction market pricing as of the October 29 reading.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-30 Market consensus expects Federal Reserve to hold rates steady at October meetingPricing and odds as of October 28 2026 show no anticipated move at the conclusion of this week's policy meeting.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-28 Bitcoin records 12,570 BTC net exchange outflow on October 1 to 27 2026The 24 hour net outflow is valued at approximately $1.01 billion at prevailing market prices.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-28 Bank of Canada rate hike odds at 78% as September inflation hits -1 to 90.6%Inflation readings arrive alongside central bank commentary on global energy price risks.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-26 Alliance Resource Partners rises 3.3% pre-open after Q3 earnings beatOctober 26 2026 trading saw the stock move on an earnings beat, while the US Dollar Index held steady through the session.the markets · Marcus Vance · 2026-10-26 Thomas Miller election model uses prediction market odds instead of public pollsTwo outlets confirmed the model's methodology on 24 October 2026.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-25 US dollar exchange rate readings published for Peru, Turkey in October 2026New filings dated 24 October 2026 include parallel and official market levels for the Peruvian sol.the markets · Marcus Vance · 2026-10-24 Gold falls 4.1% on week, drops below $4000 for first time in three monthsDeclines were recorded across global and regional gold markets as of 23 October 2026.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-24 Polymarket AI lab ranking odds post double-digit moves 2,026 to 8,983.2 October 2026Six active prediction contracts shifted 14 points or more Friday on combined volume exceeding $101,000.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-24 Robinhood secures DFSA authorization for 10 asset class tradingThe broker confirmed the regulatory approval on 2026-10-22.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-23 Gold prices fell 6 to 76.4% quarter over quarter ahead of producer earningsAverage gold prices dropped to $4,266 an ounce in the third quarter, with analysts flagging margin pressure for miners.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-23 Geojit strategist cites crude, bond yields as near term market headwindsTwo analyst notes filed 21 October 2026 outline ongoing pressure factors across markets.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-21 Polymarket Bitcoin odds shift sharply as year-end analyst targets divergeOn 16 October 2026, prediction market odds moved double digits across six Bitcoin price contracts, with spot trading near $82,000 on 18 October.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-18 Brazil right-wing figures cite Polymarket odds as voter intentAmid distrust of traditional polls, Brazilian supporters treat prediction market data as legitimate election polling despite government bans.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-18 Polymarket Bitcoin price odds drop 25 points on October 15Six crypto price betting markets posted double-digit moves on 2026-10-15, while details of a planned custody service were published.crypto · Ivan Petrov · 2026-10-17 US inflation accelerating as price gains spread beyond energy, new data showsData released the week of 16 October 2026 indicates broadening inflation, with markets pricing possible further Fed rate rises.the markets · Priya Anand · 2026-10-17

Facts · 12

Markets priced a 70% probability of a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate hike in December 2026 following the jobs report.Fed December hike odds rise after jobs report; assets move across markets Approximately three trillion dollars of value was erased from major US equity markets during the sell-off.Cyprus October 2026 inflation recorded at 0.63 to 5%André Dragosch, head of research at Bitwise Europe, stated that the Democratic midterm sweep was largely priced into crypto markets ahead of the vote.Bitcoin rises 1.6% following 2026 US midterm result confirmation Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket implied a 70% chance Darline Graham would win the South Carolina Senate race as of late afternoon on election day.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midterms Prediction markets briefly showed an 88% chance of Democrats winning the US Senate on election Tuesday, before the figure settled at approximately 80%.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midterms BetInt analysis reported around 00:00 GMT Wednesday that prediction markets gave Democrats a 98% chance of winning the US House of Representatives, up 4 percentage points from earlier Tuesday.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midterms

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Craig Holman of Public Citizen stated bipartisan pressure on prediction markets will follow the midterm elections.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midterms Analysts speaking to Decrypt stated the Democratic congressional sweep had already been priced into crypto markets prior to election night.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midterms Prediction markets assigned Donald Trump between 57% and 62% win odds on the eve of the 2024 US presidential election, while most polls showed an even race.Trump links near $18 to 2,026 per barrel oil drop to reduced Iran war expectations Prediction markets including Polymarket have grown substantially over the prior two years under Trump administration policies.Trump links near $18 to 2,026 per barrel oil drop to reduced Iran war expectations Prediction markets rose to public prominence in 2024 after correctly signaling Donald Trump would win the US presidential election before traditional polls.Over $1.4B wagered on 2025 US midterms across prediction markets Option markets price a 3.1% expected Bitcoin price move during the US midterm election 24 hour window.John Ternus to host first Apple CEO earnings call Monday

Writers · 2

Marcus VanceMarkets Reporter Priya AnandMarkets Analyst

Sections · 1

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