Thomas Miller election model uses prediction market odds instead of public polls

Two outlets confirmed the model's methodology on 24 October 2026.

Priya Anand

Markets Analyst

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Stands on 2 placed sources from 2 publishers.

As of 2026-10-25 05:02 UTC. Market figures are as the cited sources reported them at that time and may have moved since. This is news, not investment advice.

Thomas Miller’s election forecasting model uses adjusted data from prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket instead of public opinion polls.^[1]