The Tape
Markets, money, and the policy that moves them.
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · UTC
The Markets

Markets price 86% odds of Fed rate hike at September meeting

Money markets are pricing a 25 basis point increase at the upcoming FOMC meeting on September 15-16, 2026.

Priya Anand
Markets Analyst
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Stands on 8 placed sources from 8 publishers.
As of 2026-09-14 21:34 UTC. Market figures are as the cited sources reported them at that time and may have moved since. This is news, not investment advice.
Money markets priced an 86% probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points at its September 15-16 FOMC meeting [2]. Swaps traders are also building in high odds of another quarter-point increase in December [2].