The Tape
Markets, money, and the policy that moves them.
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · UTC
The Markets

State Street lowers odds on 2027 gold forecast range to 60%

The 10 point probability adjustment was published 2026-10-12, with the underlying price target band left unchanged.

Priya Anand
Markets Analyst
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As of 2026-10-12 09:24 UTC. Market figures are as the cited sources reported them at that time and may have moved since. This is news, not investment advice.
State Street Investment Management analysts reduced the assigned probability for their base case gold price forecast to 60% on 2026-10-12, down from the prior 70% rating. The forecast range for end Q1 2027 remains unchanged at $4,750 to $5,500 per troy ounce. Analysts cited macro headwinds for the odds adjustment.[1]