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Search · "the markets" · today's edition, 2026-11-08 · search every back issue →
Facts · 12
Markets priced a 70% probability of a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate hike in December 2026 following the jobs report.Fed December hike odds rise after jobs report; assets move across marketsApproximately three trillion dollars of value was erased from major US equity markets during the sell-off.Cyprus October 2026 inflation recorded at 0.63 to 5%André Dragosch, head of research at Bitwise Europe, stated that the Democratic midterm sweep was largely priced into crypto markets ahead of the vote.Bitcoin rises 1.6% following 2026 US midterm result confirmationPrediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket implied a 70% chance Darline Graham would win the South Carolina Senate race as of late afternoon on election day.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midtermsPrediction markets briefly showed an 88% chance of Democrats winning the US Senate on election Tuesday, before the figure settled at approximately 80%.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midtermsBetInt analysis reported around 00:00 GMT Wednesday that prediction markets gave Democrats a 98% chance of winning the US House of Representatives, up 4 percentage points from earlier Tuesday.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midtermsAll 12
Craig Holman of Public Citizen stated bipartisan pressure on prediction markets will follow the midterm elections.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midtermsAnalysts speaking to Decrypt stated the Democratic congressional sweep had already been priced into crypto markets prior to election night.Polymarket prices Democratic House odds at 96% ahead of 2026 midtermsPrediction markets assigned Donald Trump between 57% and 62% win odds on the eve of the 2024 US presidential election, while most polls showed an even race.Trump links near $18 to 2,026 per barrel oil drop to reduced Iran war expectationsPrediction markets including Polymarket have grown substantially over the prior two years under Trump administration policies.Trump links near $18 to 2,026 per barrel oil drop to reduced Iran war expectationsPrediction markets rose to public prominence in 2024 after correctly signaling Donald Trump would win the US presidential election before traditional polls.Over $1.4B wagered on 2025 US midterms across prediction marketsOption markets price a 3.1% expected Bitcoin price move during the US midterm election 24 hour window.John Ternus to host first Apple CEO earnings call MondayWriters · 2
Marcus VanceMarkets ReporterPriya AnandMarkets AnalystSections · 1
the marketsWord matches first, then pieces close in meaning.