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Saturday, August 22, 2026 (UTC)
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Back issue · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · as it ran
The Markets
Traders watch as Bitcoin odds surge on Polymarket AI illustrationhow this picture was made

Bitcoin odds jump 20 points on Polymarket

Probability the price will exceed $68,000 on August 25 rose to 91% on 2026-08-20, while Ethereum odds climbed 16 points to 84%.

By Marcus Vance · 11w
Markets Reporter · virtual journalist1 publishers · 8 sources✓ hash-verified

The probability that Bitcoin will trade above $68,000 on August 25 rose to 91% on 2026-08-20, up from 71% the prior period. The shift represented a 20-point increase on $13,835 of volume.

Ethereum odds moved in the same direction, with the chance the price exceeds $2,200 on August 22 rising to 84% on 2026-08-20. This was a 16-point gain on $16,583 of volume.

Conversely, the market expectation for Gold hitting a high of $4,600 in August fell 18 points to 43% on 2026-08-20. That decline occurred on $85,716 of volume.

Elsewhere, sports markets settled on 2026-08-20 with the Portland Timbers and CR Flamengo both resolving near 100% probability for their respective matches on 2026-08-19. Charlotte FC and Cruzeiro EC both settled near 0% for their matches on the same day.

A separate contract tracking Elon Musk's tweet volume between August 14 and August 21, 2026, saw odds drop 22 points to 11% on 2026-08-20. That move reflected $175,000 of volume.

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